Tuesday, April 08, 2025

economics summary for lazy folk

 I don't usually agree with Dilbert, but sometimes I listen to him because he has a business background where I have no expertise, and on politics, well, he analyzes how things are done (who is able to sell you their plans) more than who is winning vs losing, which most short news programs discuss.

With all the Trumpieboy craziness, I tuned in to see if he is worried about tariffs and learned some things.

Such as the Penguin island tariff was not stupid, but because they could be used as the paper address to send things to the US without a tariff, ergo they were put on the list.


He is saying something that I told my son who is worried about his retirement savings: 




  I had lost money in previous problem with the stock market when Enron fell and the real estate bubble popped, and my retirement bonds included these stocks, but after a year or two my retirement savings went back to normal.

So I am not too worried with this. 

of course, if the world collapses, China takes over Luzon, and we get hit by the SMOD, well, as my husband assured me: If I moved with him to the Philippines I'd always have rice to eat (we are farmers).

Speaking of China, another thing Dilbert mentions early in the podcast but doesn't go into detail, is that the future of war is drones.

I wonder how many people know this? I have posted on this in the past.

a little old lady once tole me the secret of not getting old is to learn something new every day.

I do try to keep up with politics, but X also known as twitter is addictive since it gives one an adrenaline rush from pointing out the horror of the day. Heck, that is why I quit Facebook: Too much ain't it awful strawman hysteria. 

But longer podcasts take time, and as Dilbert points out: discussion only give one point of view without a critic saying yes but....


Protest ICE, no protest for child pornography

from Newsweek on protests about preteens removed by immigration officials.

 the neighbors are protesting, the Democrats are hysterical, they are even threatening the family of the man in charge of immigration deportation. But notice what they didn't protest? 

 ICE agents conducted a raid at North Harbor Dairy in Sackets Harbor, targeting an individual charged with possession of child pornography. In addition to apprehending the primary suspect, seven others were detained at a local dairy farm last month, including a mother and her three children enrolled in the local public school.

well, first of all, ICE does not prosecute child pornography. So who did the raid?

Were these children being exploited for pornography? 

Why did no one of these concerned local citizens who are pushing the protest notiee that these were teenagers at risk?

Second, when there is a question about underage illegal migrants being placed with people who were not checked out, and many are now in places unknown, how and why were these kids at the farm? 

Who put this family at the farm? What social service organization was involved?

Where is the details of why the raid, which was about investigating child pornography? Did anyone check the local cops?

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related item:

Monday, April 07, 2025

How to grow rice: It ain't easy

 we are rice farmers, but a lot of the rice land, including the terraces in the mountains, were built slowly, with irrigation and enriching the soil with weed debris, ash from burning, etc.

Science has an article on how Indonesia's attempt to make huge areas of former swamps and forests into productive rice land may be doomed.

the problem seems to be that these soils are thin and acidic.


this can be treated but much of the rice land in use has been lovingly improved over hundreds of years by irrigation, weed control, manure and rotting organic matter for fertilizer, and sometimes adding minerals like lime to sweeten the soil

IRRI book on soil problems for you to download.

it instructs about caring for the soil in a way to limit chemicals and discusses the wet /dry method of growing rice.

one way to improve acidic soil is to use lime in the fertilizer.

but opening new areas for rice cultivation requires soil analysis and working with local farmers on the best way to improve the soil. You need to find a type of rice that will grow with the climate, and you need to decide if you want wet or dry or wet/dry method of irrigation. And of course, you need the government to dig you irrigation canals, and government assistance to keep you going in the bad years: because it may take years until the fields are evolved from brush into productive land.

China did this two thousand years ago, so it's not impossible.

when I read Science article I interpreted the problem as being too ambitious: sort of let's destroy the forest and just import farmers from another area to plant rice and voila, instant crop.

No. It's more complicated than that. 

The article goes into previous mega plans that failed; much of the failure is from magical thinking, but when the authors keep mentioning that the indigenous need the forest, as if hunter gathering lifestyle would feed the growing population, it shows another bias: the love of the primitive in NGOs who are supposed to help farmers to  modernize. 

the love of the primitive. Nice in theory but hell in reality.

I remember a nice happy film about a village in the Visayas where the happy happy people assured the film makers they loved their traditional rice growing style. 

Two problems with that film however. 

One: In Filipino culture, one tends to tell the questioner what he wants to hear, not the truth.

Two: Our relatives are from that area and people are always asking us if we can hire them to work on our farms in Luzon. That area is poor. Poor is nice to visit, but hell on the locals, who see their malnourished kids die of infections, and who are old and arthritic by age 50. Obviously the film makers didn't ask any of these people about how they like their traditional lifestyle.

Indeed, this is why ten percent of the Philippine population work overseas, either as permanent migrants, temporary workers, or as sailors in international shipping.

 we have two rice businesses here in Luzon: 

One on the fields once owned by our family but distributed to local farmers under land reform. We grow rice on the small plots we own, and subcontract with these farmers to grow rice organically and buy it from them and distribute it to the supermarkets in Manila.

And because of this expertise, Joy, who has business background, was asked to start a coop to work with farmers in nearby Bulacan to grow organic rice and vegetables.

well, anyway, it is late an I am too lazy to go into details of how to make thin acidic soil into productive rice land, so I asked Grok how to do this

 

grok answer to how to change acidic soil into productive rice land:

Converting acidic soil into suitable land for rice growing involves adjusting the soil's pH and improving its fertility and structure. Rice typically thrives in slightly acidic to neutral soils (pH 5.5–7.0), though some varieties can tolerate more acidic conditions. If your soil is highly acidic (below pH 5.5), you'll need to take steps to neutralize it and create a favorable environment. Here's a step-by-step guide:
1. Test the Soil
  • Why: Determine the current pH and nutrient levels of your soil.
  • How: Use a soil testing kit (available at garden stores) or send a sample to a local agricultural extension service.
  • Goal: Aim for a pH range of 5.5–7.0, ideal for most rice varieties.
2. Raise the Soil pH (if too acidic)
  • Liming: Apply agricultural lime (calcium carbonate) or dolomite lime (calcium magnesium carbonate) to neutralize acidity.
    • Amount: Depends on soil type and current pH. For example:
      • Sandy soil: 2–3 tons/ha to raise pH by 1 unit.
      • Clay soil: 4–5 tons/ha to raise pH by 1 unit.
    • Application: Spread evenly over the soil and incorporate it 15–20 cm deep using a plow or tiller. Do this 2–3 months before planting to allow the lime to react with the soil.
  • Recheck: Test the pH again after a few weeks to ensure it’s in the target range.
3. Improve Soil Fertility
  • Organic Matter: Add compost, manure, or green manure (e.g., decomposed rice straw or legumes) to boost nutrients and improve soil structure.
    • Rice needs nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium, which organic matter can supply.
  • Fertilizers: Based on your soil test, apply:
    • Nitrogen (e.g., urea) for growth.
    • Phosphorus (e.g., superphosphate) for root development.
    • Potassium (e.g., potassium chloride) for overall health.
    • Typical rates: 100–150 kg/ha nitrogen, 40–60 kg/ha phosphorus, 40–60 kg/ha potassium (adjust based on soil needs).
4. Prepare the Land for Rice
  • Water Management: Rice grows best in flooded or waterlogged conditions (paddy fields). Ensure your land has access to water and can retain it.
    • Build bunds (small walls) around the field to hold water.
    • Level the land to ensure even water distribution.
  • Tilling: Plow the soil when moist to break up clumps and create a muddy, puddled texture ideal for rice transplanting or sowing.
5. Choose the Right Rice Variety
  • Some rice varieties tolerate acidic soils better than others (e.g., upland rice for drier, acidic conditions vs. lowland rice for paddies). Consult local agricultural experts for varieties suited to your region.
6. Maintain the Soil
  • Flooding: Keeping the field flooded can naturally suppress soil acidity over time by limiting oxygen and altering chemical reactions.
  • Monitor: Regularly check pH and nutrient levels, especially after each growing season, and amend as needed.
Tips
  • Work with local farmers or agricultural advisors—they’ll know what works best in your area.
  • Avoid over-liming, as a pH above 7.5 can lock up nutrients like iron and zinc, which rice needs.
With these steps, your acidic soil can be transformed into productive rice-growing land over one or two seasons, depending on how acidic it starts out. Let me know if you need specifics for your location or soil type!

Sunday, April 06, 2025

1968 redux

 

These protests today are not organic. All 1300 of them have been preplanned by the same six Democrat led and funded NGOs. The resistance is made up of a professional agitator class, whose only purpose is to engage in destabilizing and Marxist revolutions. That is what they learn…

— Insurrection Barbie (@DefiyantlyFree) April 5, 2025

.....

one difference: I saw in the sixties a lot of people in college who joined because it was the "in" thing; similarly, Ruby said in her college in Minnesota, a lot of the students joined the protests in 2020 for the same reason while the foreign students just shrugged them off, recognizing the manipulation because they saw how it worked in their countries.

In Manila, the price to hire a protester used to be five dollars plus lunch. But the workers and tricycle drivers will only protest if they agree with the protest, or don't care about it either way and figure why not, it's easy money.

But in the USA, there are plenty of true believers among the educated elite.

Well I always was the nay sayer and trouble maker: When I am with the MAGA types, I argue against them, but when I see astroturfed protests, I am just disgusted. 

Educated people should know stuff and no believe the lies... 

I am always reminded of P.J. O'Rourke's answer to why conservatives don't go to demonstrations: We have jobs.

And I am also cynical because all those sixties types who were against the vietnam war never raised a finger to help the millions of refugees or the Cambodian holocaust. The only prominent protester who did notice this was going on a tried to help was Joan Baez...

the present day multilateral world was a plan: In 1992, Robert Reich discussed this plan in his book the Work of Nations.


There is no longer such a thing as an American economy, say Robert Reich at the beginning of this brilliant book. What does it mean to be a nation when money, goods, and services know no borders? What skills will be the most valuable in the coming century? And how can our country best ensure that all its citizen have a share in the new global economy? Robert B. Reich, the widely respected and bestselling author of The Next American Frontier and The Resurgent Liberal, defines the real challenge facing the United States in the 21st century in this trail-blazing book. Original, readable, and vastly informed, The Work of Nations is certain to set a standard for the next generation of policy-makers.

so what is going on? 

Trumpieboy is destroying their plans. What is sauce for the goose is sauce for the gander 

link


Don't ask me: I'm just a GILF sitting in my bedroom blogging.

Lots of complicated analyses out there. But conspiracy site who shall not be named summarizes it here:

yes I know: A crazy conspiracy site. But

 given how the information about Covid on conspiracy sites was more accurate than what I read in the Medical literature, maybe some of the points in this summary might be correct. Alternative opinion



If not, then the sky is falling and we are all gonna die.

..............................

AP update

 

Trump presented the import taxes, which he calls “reciprocal tariffs” and range from 10% to 49%, in the simplest terms: the U.S. would do to its trading partners what he said they had been doing to the U.S. for decades. “Taxpayers have been ripped off for more than 50 years,” he said. “But it is not going to happen anymore.” The president promised that “Jobs and factories will come roaring back into our country.” He framed it not just as an economic issue, but a question of national security that threatens “our very way of life.”"....so how does fair trade work?

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said the U.S. tariffs imposed on his country were totally unwarranted, but Australia will not retaliate. “President Trump referred to reciprocal tariffs. A reciprocal tariff would be zero, not 10%,” said Albanese. The U.S. and Australia have a free trade agreement and the U.S. has a $2-to-$1 trade surplus with Australia. “This is not the act of a friend.” Trump said the United States bought $3 billion of Australian beef last year, but Australia would not accept U.S. beef imports. Albanese said the ban on raw U.S. beef was for biosecurity reasons.

That was the only example but Europe and China does this all the time.

And then there are those small contries that are shipping cheap stuff to the USA that actually come from other countries But that's not even noticed in these articles that lament how the tariffs will hurt the third world.


update;