Remembering when Freedom won

AustinBay remembers the fall of the Berlin wall 25 years ago.

The Wall's fall mattered for everyone who understood the Cold War's stakes and risks. The stakes were freedom versus tyranny. The Cold War risks in Western Europe were manifold, but they included escalation from a conventional firefight to global thermonuclear war.
Which is why I stress joy and relief. Those were the emotions that flooded me on Nov. 9, 1989, as I saw video of East and West Berliners clasping hands and weeping. Where were the border guards? Berliners said the East German border police had disappeared -- they had refused to shoot. Then the crowd surged. Within a couple of hours, guitars replaced Kalashnikovs. I recall TV footage (the reporter said he was live in East Berlin) of a gleeful young man whacking the Wall with a sledgehammer.

Insomnia downloads of the week

Librivox has a book of Cowboy poems for your listening pleasure.

and Brian Sibley is posting links to the BBC radio series on the Musical.

he has a link to his new book on the Hobbit 3 for pre-order.
When we went to the mall, the ad was up for this movie already, even though it doesn't open until December.

Election comments

Watching the election kerfuffles, it reminds me of the late 1970's and early 1980's, when I lived in Africa: it was like the USA was crazy, with an idealistic president who refused to recognize that idealism not tempered with reality ended up in chaos and defeat (read the famous essay "Children of Light, children of darkness" to explain why...or maybe just Kipling). So the result was too far the other direction. Sigh.

On the other hand, maybe this sends a headsup that the elites cannot impose their laws on people without pushback.

Nah. The big business Republicans will stop that move in it's track.

I am reading about the troubles of the Roman republic, and since the USA is not a democracy but a Republic, with checks and balances based on the Roman republic, I am not optimistic.

On the other hand, just maybe the village idiots will do a better job than the elites who live in cloud-cukoo-land... because the idiots have to live in a reality based world.

Quarrantine?

For later listening: StrategyPage podcast on Ebola.


related item:AmusingPlanet has an article on St Helena's Island, where Napoleon was "quarantined" so he didn't return to Europe to make trouble.

Headsup TeaAtTrianon.

Family news

Since the cook was harvesting her rice, she cooked early and left the dishes to be reheated.

Alas, that early in the day, only old meat was in the palenke from the previous day and the food was lousy.

So when I went to the mall to buy Lolo's medicines, I decided to pick up a bucket of KFC chicken for us to eat, since KFC is near the pharmacy. I haven't eaten there for over six month, and it smelled so good. So we ate the chicken at home for "merienda" (3 pm break).

So far the harvest is okay: No local typhoons to destroy the crop. We are praying the luck continues.

Stuff around the web

Who invented the equals sign?

 Mazur has this to say on the history of the equals sign:

The ideas of algebra brought on the symbols, not the other way around. Robert Recorde had written the words “is equal to” almost two hundred times in his book Whetstone of Witte (1557) before noticing that he could easily “avoid the tedious repetition” of those three words by designing the symbol = to represent them.

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OttomanHistoryPodcast discusses the Jews of North Africa, including a group that is ignored in history, those who lived in the Southern Sahara region who are ethnically different from those Jews who lived along the coast.

alas, I listened to 20 minutes and it all seems to be talking about how the intellectuals view these people rather than about these folks themselves.

 but learning about the ethic groups in the Sahara countries is not something one learned in school. This valley is not Arab but Mozabite (Berber) ethnic group that dates to 1000  acccording to wikipedia:Ghardaïa (population of 93,423) is the capital of the confederacy

the town is a UN World heritage site.

© UNESCO
Author: Francis Tack 

so why should we care about this small town?

StrategyPage notes:

 In Ghardaia the violence between Arab and Berber residents is all about water rights, jobs, land, ethnicity and religion. Arabs also accuse the 800,000 Berbers in the south of supporting al Qaeda. The province of Ghardaia is on the edge of the Sahara Desert and contains only 200,000 people. The unrest has been going on since late 2013. Over a hundred people have been arrested and there have been over 400 casualties (including at least 15 dead). Over a hundred building has been burned down along with dozens of vehicles. Thousands have fled the city and many businesses stay closed for days or weeks at a time. The police, who are largely Arab, are accused of being biased against the Berbers. The ethnic tensions in this area, 600 kilometers south of the capital, have been growing since 2008 and there was another outbreak of violence in October 2013 that was put down violently. As bad as the ethnic tensions have been there are also disagreements over religion. The Arabs belong to the Maliki school of Islam while the Berbers are largely from the smaller Ibadi sect.

About 30 percent of Algerians are Berber, but the percentage is higher in the south. Ghardaia is an ancient Berber city of 90,000 that contains many Ibadi shrines. Berbers are found throughout North Africa, west of Egypt and down to the semi-desert Sahel (where the closely related Tuareg tribes live). The six million Berbers of Algeria are considered the most abused in the region. Ghardaia Arabs got the recent unrest started by desecrating some of these shrines. This led to violent Berber reprisals, especially when images of the damage appeared on the Internet. The government is concerned for several reasons. For one thing there are oil fields are nearby. Worse, the sustained unrest among the Berbers could be the first breeze in an uprising that could engulf the entire country.

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Pumpkin pie week at Epicurious blog.

Poverty kaput, and Rice news

All the news from the US is about politics...oh yes, and a famous TV actress who got upset that someone noticed she sexually abused her sister, and who is going to sue the blogger who actually quoted her actual words from her book.

And the foreign news is about the same.

So to put things into perspective, read this article (via Instapundit).

Dartmouth economics professor Douglas Irwin has an excellent op-ed in today’s Wall Street Journal — “The Ultimate Global Antipoverty Program,” with the subtitle “Extreme poverty fell to 15% in 2011, from 36% in 1990. Credit goes to the spread of capitalism.” Here’s an excerpt:

The World Bank reported on Oct. 9 that the share of the world population living in extreme poverty had fallen to 15% in 2011 from 36% in 1990. Earlier this year, the International Labor Office reported that the number of workers in the world earning less than $1.25 a day has fallen to 375 million 2013 from 811 million in 1991.

Such stunning news seems to have escaped public notice, but it means something extraordinary: The past 25 years have witnessed the greatest reduction in global poverty in the history of the world.

To what should this be attributed? Official organizations noting the trend have tended to waffle, but let’s be blunt: The credit goes to the spread of capitalism. Over the past few decades, developing countries have embraced economic-policy reforms that have cleared the way for private enterprise.

I've seen this first hand, and it's ignored for the "ain't it awful" stories of the day.

The World bank report on the Philippines 

The proportion of households living below the official poverty line has declined slowly and unevenly from 59 percent in 1961 to below 39 percent in 1991 and around 36 percent in 1994. Urban poverty stood at around 23 percent in 1991 and rural poverty at 53 percent (by World Bank staff calculations). Food poverty (or those living below subsistence) was around 20 percent of households in 1991, but 32 percent of rural households while only 12 percent of urban households. Two-thirds of the poor are engaged in the agriculture, fishery, and forestry sectors and have an elementary school education or less. However, the depth of poverty is relatively small (with the poverty gap index only 17 percent in 1991, having fallen by 40 percent since 1961), and income disparities among the poor have declined noticeably.

if you wonder why "food poverty" is higher in rural areas, it is because often the farmers sell most of their crop for money (for school fees, clothing, etc) at harvest time, and then run out of their personal stash of rice. So "hunger season" is right before the harvest.

What helps is often those who work overseas will send money that is used by the extended family for school fees and small luxuries. And land reform has helped: We own only a small amount of land per person in our family, and the rest is now owned by the local farmers whose families traditionally worked the land.

The problem? Many of them have been able to educate their kids, who prefer to work in Manila or in factory jobs or overseas than to work in the fields for minimum wages. So we often hire farmers from the Visayas, which is not as "affluent" as we are, to farm our fields.

Mechanization has lessened the work. A large rototiller called a handplow helps prepare the fields, and although the seedlings are still planted by hand and the harvest is still by hand, once the rice is cut, we have a thresher to separate the grain from the stalks. The grain is then dried, usually in the sun. So you have to drive slowly on the roads because of the rice drying there. But if it rains, more rice is lost, or you have to pay someone to dry it for you. We lost part of a harvest this way when it took too long for the local rice mill to dry our crop. The rice was edible, but we are a gourmet rice grower so we had to sell a lot of it for regular rice consumption.

So three years ago we bought a small rice mill and a small rice drier, and placed them on the top of a hill where we had the chicken farm.

Then we were hit by the typhoon last year (not Yolanda: a smaller class 4 that hit Luzon and got crowded out of the headlines by the larger typhoon in the south). That destroyed the chicken farm and much of our big crop, but the buildings for the drier did okay.

We get two harvests a year here, and there is irrigation. The main harvest rarely needs irrigation, so you make a larger profit, but the winter harvest requires irrigation so is smaller and less profit due to irrigation fees.

Places like Viet Nam get three harvests a year, so their rice is cheaper than ours. The trick is to flood the fields and plant partly grown seedling as soon as the harvest is done, so the growing season is shorter.

Whereas here, the main crop is planted as seedlings, but the "second harvest" is often just grown from seeds that are thrown out into the furrows by hand. Less labor intensive since it is a "spare" harvest.

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Our cook is taking the day off to help harvest her family's rice fields.

Joy has made us organic, which has increased our expenses, but not improved our yields (and alas a lot of our competition cheats a bit to lower the cost so we are being harmed by the competition).

The latest initiative here is to lower methane emissions caused by wet rice fields. You keep slowly running water in the rice paddies to keep down weed growth. But the rotting weeds emit methane, a green house gas.

PDF LINK

another article explains.

Alternate wetting and drying is an agricultural practice whereby farmers allow their rice paddies to dry until the water table is below the soil surface before irrigating again. Compared with maintaining paddies in a continuously flooded state, this practice can lower water use by 25 per cent, and reduce energy use for pumping the irrigation water.
AWD also reduces methane emissions from rice production by 50 per cent or more because periodically aerobic soil conditions inhibit methane-producing soil bacteria.

One reason for China's success is lowering greenhouse gas emissions was that they implemented this practice (making me laugh at the naive westerners who didn't even mention this when they praised China's green policies).

Which brings me to another old story that hit the papers: Arsenic in your rice cereal.

duh. This is an older NYTimes article on the problem.

If the fields are flooded in the traditional paddy method, she has found, the rice handily takes up arsenic. But if the water is reduced in an effort to limit arsenic, the plant instead absorbs cadmium — also a dangerous element.
“It’s almost either-or, day-and-night as to whether we see arsenic or cadmium in the rice,” said Dr. Guerinot, a molecular geneticist and professor of biology at Dartmouth College.
The levels of arsenic and cadmium at the study site are not high enough to provoke alarm, she emphasized. Still, it is dawning on scientists like her that rice, one of the most widely consumed foods in the world, is also one of nature’s great scavengers of metallic compounds.
Consumers have already become alarmed over reports of rice-borne arsenic in everything from cereal bars to baby food. Some food manufacturers have stepped up screening for arsenic in their products, and agencies such as the Food and Drug Administration now recommend that people eat a variety of grains to “minimize potential adverse health consequences from eating an excess of any one food.”
But it’s not just arsenic and cadmium, which are present in soil both as naturally occurring elements and as industrial byproducts. Recent studies have shown that rice is custom-built to pull a number of metals from the soil, among them mercury and even tungsten. The findings have led to a new push by scientists and growers to make the grain less susceptible to metal contamination.
The highest levels often occur in brown rice, because elements like arsenic accumulate in bran and husk, which are polished off in the processing of white rice. The Department of Agriculture estimates that on average arsenic levels are 10 times as high in rice bran as in polished rice.

So Organic brown rice has it's own problems.

But the good news: Philippine rice is arsenic free.

The samples were analyzed using an inductively coupled plasma-optical emission spectrometer (ICP-OES),and their arsenic levels were below the ICP-OES detection limit of 15 parts per billion (ppb).  
The Philippines has not yet set a maximum limit of arsenic in rice. Australia and New Zealand (1000 ppb total arsenic in cereals) and China (150 ppb inorganic arsenic for rice and rice products) have set limits.  
The global “normal” range for arsenic concentration in rice is 80-200 ppb. A study by Yamily Zavala and John Duxbury at Cornell University in New York revealed that arsenic concentrations in rice from the US and Europe were similar (198 ppb), and significantly higher than rice from Asia (70 ppb).
The Cornell study showed that arsenic-contaminated irrigation water, not soil, led to increased grain arsenic concentration. As rice is grown in flooded soils, it absorbs and stores a lot more arsenic compared to other plants through its roots.

The other church at Ground Zero

A lot of folks are aware of the Episcopal church near Ground Zero that was spared in the fires that resulted from the plane hijackings.

But fewer are aware that a nearby Orthodox church was destroyed. And now, FatherZ writes, they will rebuild it.

videolink

The cranky film review of the day

"Frozen" as the Shining. 
You'll notice the characters who meet their icy demise at the ends of these movies don't match up. Because love. When Anna sacrifices herself to save Elsa—despite the fact that Elsa almost killed her twice—she is able to save them both, teaching Elsa that love can conquer a cold death and help her control her dangerous wintery outbursts.
I mean, it's not "The Shining," y'all. It's Disney's "The Shining." So, Kristoff doesn't get an ax plunged into his chest, Olaf doesn't have to face "Heeeeere's Johnny!" and Anna and Elsa and Olaf and everyone can live happily ever after.

Am I the only one who thinks that Elsa is a narcisstic bitch? And if you think that love conquers all, maybe you are living in a fairly tale.

One clue that a movie isn't quite up to speed is putting a brand name on the film...so it's "Disney's Frozen" although Disney has been dead for 50 years.

Haloween customs

From the Smithsonian

Kale as matchmaker

Meet the Cromartie Fool, the goofy man holding a kale stock. According to Celtic tradition, it was believed that this jester presided over Halloween festivities—many of which involved single men and women uprooting kale stalks to determine their future. Image courtesy of Wikimedia Commons.


Read more: http://www.smithsonianmag.com/arts-culture/the-halloween-tradition-best-left-dead-kale-as-matchmaker-100207686/#EXuYqlcPp2WfiMZz.99
Give the gift of Smithsonian magazine for only $12! http://bit.ly/1cGUiGv
Follow us: @SmithsonianMag on Twitter

Via TeaAtTrianon:

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BBC on the UK's Haloween and Winter customs

There are men who carry flaming barrels of tar through a Devon village, folk who pour cider over apple tree roots and cross-dressing troupes who perform something called Soul Caking to ward off evil spirits.
There is also a village in Somerset called Hinton St George which has a tradition of pumpkin carving and night-time walks that sounds remarkably similar to the Halloween rituals we all know.

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Family News

Sunday is All Saints day, when we remember the dead.

Here in the Philippines, it means that everyone takes off for a long weekend to go to their home villages and check the graves of their ancestors, cleaning them up from debris and decorating them with candles and flowers.

Usually the family stays for a picnic lunch, and there are plenty of vendors around with cold drinks, snacks, and toys for bored children to play with.

Since it is also hot, I suggested to Lolo that we go today. Tomorrow and Sunday will see so many people in the cemetary that we won't get near the gravesites of his mother and relatives, and indeed, usually the roads are blocked for cars. Last year, we got a tricycle to get Lolo inside, since he can't walk well, but since it's been either hot or thunderstorms, I suggested we go a day early so his son can drive the car right to the grave.

The main problem of going early is that the local kids will steal the flowers to sell to other visitors.

But I figure the dear departed won't mind, since it's the thought that counts,  especially since the cousins will bring more flowers etc. in the next two day.

Because of the heat, instead of eating at the grave, on the way home, we stopped at Luz for lunch, despite the fact we were a bit sweaty and grungy from the trip. Oh well...they know us.

Craft item of the day

How to make a medieval costume in five minutes

Download of the day

Download of the day is Michael Drouts's Encyclopedia on JRR Tolkien.

and if you use the search, the archives also has some of the series on Middle Earth.


they also have a torrent for the desolation of Smaug.

Quick before the copyright cops find it's there.

Stuff round the net

Nice Story of the day:

He takes a picture of her everywhere he goes.

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Nice story of the past:

Usually the love stories in the Tudors seem a bit nasty, but Henry's sister did marry for love

Headsup TeaAtTrianon

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ten things that are killing the family....

it's not all "morality"...some sociological and economic things are destroying the family.

the stress on the extended family being destroyed by moving into the suburbs is obvious, but rarely noted as a problem.
An extension of this:
Mens' wages went down, so we live in an economy that made it necessary for women to work full time jobs, and these jobs are often far from home.

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The angry nurse who claimed that she was placed in quarantine after her forehead tested as having a fever has been released.

She is returning to Maine, but her neighbors there don't want her to break quarantine, as she is saying she plans to do.

Most of the studies have been done comparing forehead strips with oral or TM (placed in the ear) measurment of temperature in kids, for obvious reasons: Kids bite thermometers, mouth breathe, and refuse to cooperate.

but in this nurse's,case, they just aimed a temperature measuring gun at her head (which is how we were screened for SARS and influenza at Manila airport).

and although that screening will usually pick up fevers, with few false negatives it also greatly overestimates temperatures. Which means you have to rescreen (just as you have to be checked if the metal detecter goes off, or if your luggage tests positive for explosives because you had fertilized your garden the day you packed your suitcase).

from a scienceblogs article:

The bottom line is that this kind of remote fever sensing had poor positive predictive value, meaning that the proportion of people correctly identified as having fever was low, ranging from 10% to 16%. Thus there were a lot of false positives. Negative predictive value, the proportion of people classified by the IR device as not having fever who in fact did not have fever was high (97% to 99%), so not many people with fevers will be missed with the IR device. Predictive values depend not only on the accuracy of the device but also how prevalent fever is in the screened population. In the early days of a pandemic, fever prevalence will be very low, leading to low positive predictive value. The false positives produced at airport security would make the days of only taking off your shoes look good.

but of course, instead of using her predicament to educate the public on the proper way to screen passengers (i.e. anyone testing positive should be pulled aside an the temperature rechecked), she is suing.

Kaching alert....

The problem is that the feds are so mixed up no one knows anything...or rather we know it but they seem to be reneging on the problem.

From SciTechDaily:

Targeted Isolation May Be the Most Effective Way to Reduce Transmission of Ebola

 New research led by the Yale School of Public Health shows that isolating 75% of infected individuals in critical condition within four days of symptom onset has a high chance of eliminating the spread of Ebola.Isolating the most severely ill Ebola patients before the fifth day of their illness may be the most effective way to reduce transmission of the virus, new research led by the Yale School of Public Health suggests.

. The research is published October 28 in the Annals of Internal Medicine. ,,,

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the WAGD from ebola article of the day at Wired..

summary: You are probably safe in East McKeesport, but if it hits Manila we are toast...

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CHOCOLATE!

 Dietary cocoa flavanols—naturally occurring bioactives found in cocoa—reversed age-related memory decline in healthy older adults, according to a study led by Columbia University Medical Center (CUMC) scientists. 

Family news

Yesterday, we moved the puppies downstairs to the laundry/garage area.
And I bought 20 pounds of puppy food (which we will soak and feed them, but also feed it to the adult dogs mixed with rice).

We have nine surviving puppies: Angel lost two of her five puppies, probably because she is older, but this is good because Sophie had six, and is happy to let Angel share in feeding the kids.

They have just started eating: Here, usually the minute they start solid food, they get given away, but I usually try to keep them for at least another month, because they often die if given away too soon.

The problem? Well, the staff often takes them home behind our back, meaning that the people who were promised puppies often don't get any.

oh well. I'd like to keep one, but we still have too many dogs, so until PapaDog dies (he is about ten years old) we'll have to give them all away. Since we spend time cuddling them, usually the dogs are good natured...and we have no trouble finding them homes.

None of them appear to be "short" like Angel, so they all should be medium sized dogs.

Stuff around the net

The latest school shooting was again in Indian country, like the one at Red Lake a couple of years ago.

Which brings to mind this: DWarren quotes Chaput's speech.

That word, “heartless,” is underused today. It raises the stakes on our idea of “feelings.” We have too many feelings, most of them fake. The genuine ones tend to be quite selfish. We “hurt” easily, we indulge, easily. Empathy and compassion are reduced to “feelings,” and our “concern” is to make the rich pay. The actual poor are subject to our feelings of irritation. When cornered, rhetorically, we may write a cheque, but it becomes a kind of blood money. Living as I do in Parkdale, I am conscious of the ignorance of one street for another, one house for another, one apartment to the apartment next door. I can understand it. I don’t want to know these people, either.
So that my heart breaks — I am “genuinely impressed” — when I see examples of personal outreach to the neighbours. Most often I see this in the form of one rather desperately poor person, spontaneously helping another. Such as offering him a cigarette. (The smuglies in government have made cigarettes expensive.) Such as “being there” when a man is fallen, and not just calling nine-one-one. Such as taking care of the crazies, hands on. Such as — and this is the most impressive thing I’ve seen — teaching a hopeless wretch the use of a rosary. Because that can change everything.

which reminds me of how many of our Native American neighbors took in relatives who needed a place to stay, or raised the children of relatives and friends who had drug problem.

Chaput's full speech about the family synod is here.

And someone took a quote out of context to demand he apologize.

so what else is new?

well, the pope explained that families were important but his statements didn't get much coverage.

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Trig was not the first beloved child who had Down's syndrome.

Angel Unaware

mn.gov/mnddc/parallels2/pdf/.../53-Angel_Unaware.pdf

Minnesota.gov

Angel. Unaware. DALE EVAN S ROGERS

I don't know if the link will work, but this is indeed the wife of cowboy Roy Rogers.

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Family news

Ruby had a lot of friends over in the evening for a movie marathon to celebrate her birthday.

Lolo is wheezing again...but no fever. Might be the allergies/hayfever type syndrome since a couple of kids I saw had allergic rhinitis and cough.

Joy's sister has her week off from her immunotherapy...repeat testing will be Friday.

This is a big weekend: All Saint's day when everyone goes to the cemetaries to clean up the graves of their loved ones, eat a meal, say some prayers. etc.

WTF article of the day take two

LINK

The powerful, feeling-filled bond between a mother and her child is a big part of what leads working mothers to take their child-rearing responsibilities more seriously than working fathers.

If this essential difference is the problem, if it is the root of gender equality in the workplace, and if our highest priority is to eliminate gender inequality, then ectogenesis offers a way forward.

why not? The elites are already outsourcing pregnancy to surrogates in India.

Headsup WSmith 

WTF articles of the day

Nurse who cared for ebola patients and who had high fever but negative test at airport is lamenting her civil right were violated, and that her quarantine is "hell" (according to Drudge).

Well, the blood test may not be positive early in the disease. And after that hippie doc managed to go all around NYCity while feeling sick but didn't worry because his fever hadn't gone up, I don't think she will get much sympathy.

ALL patients arriving from West Africa who were in contact with ebola need to go into quarantine, fever or not.  This could be done at home if they are mature and can monitor their fever at home (or better yet, a nurse can visit them daily to check the temperature). Will that lower the number of "health care workers" who volunteer? Maybe, but I doubt it.

The last time that "civil rights" by narcissists trumped public health was when Mayor Feinstein faced a recall election for closing the San Francisco bath houses where HIV, hepatitis, and other STD's spread like wildfire. How many died because of that bit of nonsense. Indeed, if anyone had closed the bathhouses when the Hepatitis B epidemic was going on in the late 1970's, then a lot fewer men would have caught HIV when it flew in with "patient zero", the attractive Canadian flight attendant who probably caught it in Haiti.

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heh. NJ guv says:

“I have great respect for Dr. Fauci, but what he’s counting on is a voluntary system with folks that may or may not comply,” said Christie, citing the example of an NBC News crew who returned from West Africa and violated their self-quarantine.
“This is government’s job,” Christie said. “If anything else, the government’s job is to protect the safety and health of our citizens.”

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two more comments: The bitching nurse complains that her oral temperature was only 98.6 but only her forehead temperature showed 101 degrees.

Well forehead temperature scanning is not a very good test, but you know it is easy to fake an oral temperature, which can be changed if you drink something cold or hot or even breathe through your mouth. If she really wanted to argue with the high temperature test done, she should have insisted on the most accurate way to check a temperature: A rectal thermometer reading.

As for those who say you can't catch Ebola by sitting next to someone on a bus: True. But what if he coughs in your face, or (worse ) vomits all over you? If that had happened in the doctor who felt ill but didn't have a temperature,so he went all aorund instead of staying quietly at home,  it could have exposed 50 people to the disease.

Family news

Yesterday, they held a birthday party for Ruby and her friends from her church's youth group.

In the evening, we went to Luz restaurant with Lolo to celebrate.

So a busy day.

She lost her old computer in last year's typhoon, so kept borrowing my new computer, so I gave her the  computer for her birthday. (and bought another one for myself).