Thursday, May 04, 2023

Chinese threats escalating

China is slowly moving to threaten war.


...#PRC: Detaining foreign nationals is the business plan Stephen Yates, chair of the America First Policy Institute's China Policy Initiative. @GordonGChang, Gatestone, Newsweek, The Hill....

the discussion mentions this could be a prelog to conflict.

The Reuters analysis of records on exit bans, from China’s supreme court database, shows an eightfold increase in cases mentioning bans between 2016 and 2022. China last week beefed up its counter-espionage law, allowing exit bans to be imposed on anyone, Chinese or foreign, who is under investigation.

But you know, it's not just against Chinese businessmen and international business community: there are a lot of Filippine OFW there:

Wikipedia says only 12000 in mainland China, but a lot of OFW are caregivers, nannies, nurses and blue collar workers in Taiwan and Hong Kong (and Macau).

Wikipedia:

 Hong Kong165,000
 Taiwan147,234

So now China is hinting they could be used as pawns if the Philippines doesn't obey them.

CNN PHIL headline:

Solon condemns China’s ‘threat’ vs. OFWs in Taiwan,,
“The Philippines is advised to unequivocally oppose ‘Taiwan independence’ rather than stoking the fire by offering the US access to the military bases near the Taiwan Strait if you care genuinely about the 150,000 OFWs,” Xilian said.

The background of this is a ten year slow war against the Philippines in their territorial claims to the West Philippine sea,

President Obama encouraged then President Aquino not to aggressively stop them when they started chasing out fishermen and digging up the seabed to build artificial islands: Instead the US told him to take it to court, where the Philippines won the case, but no one was around to enforce this decree by international law.

So the next time you read the MSM spin about this is the evil USA starting a confrontation against China, just remember that China has been pushing around the Philippines and VietNam in this area for over a decade, and their artificial islands have reached the point that they could threaten vital sea lanes.

After years of Duerte, who saw the US wasn't helping, and tried to make nice with China (and who hated the CIA ...long story) he found that China was screwing him with fake promises. So now that we have a new president Bong Bong Marcos, the alliance was reset, and now there is an agreement that the US will be posting troops into northern Luzon (see video in previous blogpost).

The US/Philippine alliance is a delicate matter, because the Philippines doesn't like being told what to do by their former colonial masters. However, the hatred of the Chinese is centuries old. ,,,in SEAsia, it is the Chinese who essentially run the economy (most entrepeneurs are part Chinese ancestry) and so a lot of Filipinos who can't get ahead in business blame them for the elite families monopoly of the economic sector. 

But the present crisis is that the Biden administration has finally decided that hey maybe they need to stop China before they invade Taiwan (and later, Luzon and VietNam and Siberia?)

Hence US troops are now being allowed to reside on Philppine military bases 

And China is also continuing their threats in the West Philippine sea: and this ten year old slow war in open sight is now being written about in the MSM.

From the Inquirer:
 

Aggression in West PH Sea: China’s maritime ‘Great Wall’ plan

well, duh. anyone with a map of sea lanes know that their artificial islands could block major shipping routes from the Indian Ocean into the Pacific.

And now they are trying to expand their control from passively building artificial islands in the shallow shoals to actually being aggressive. They use huge numbers of what they claim are fishing boats, but are actually part of their naval militia

but hey if you attack them (or they sink your fishing boat "accidentally" well, you can't blame the Chinese government>.............



Read the above Inquirer article that has maps of how they could use their militarized islands not only for naval operations but for bombing small countries nearby. And don't forget the internet cables, which if cut threaten not just the Philippines and SEAsia but India.

....

an additional complication: lots of military aged Chinese men working in the local casinos, (wikipedia estimates 100 thousand and adds:

Filipino security officials have raised concerns regarding Chinese-affiliated POGOs in the Philippines, particularly those near police and military installations. Defense Secretary Delfin Lorenzana has said that POGOs could be used in espionage activities.


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