Monday, March 30, 2020

Why it spread

I have been a bit angry how China ignored the implications of a new pneumonia/viral infection of unknown causes when it was first seen in Wuhan because China should have known better, since they had been through this type of outbreak in SARS, which also spread because China tried to cover it up.

this is basic public health, fellahs: Even in Africa, when a dangerous disease pops up, usually the public health people, including experts from other countries, are called in right away to try to stop it's spread.

In China, however, no one seemed to recognize that a new, highly fatal pneumonia was seen in their sophisticated hospitals might become a danger.

DUH.

and they punished the doctor in Wuhan who put a notice on the social media about seeing such cases in his hospital.

Ironically, he was not a hospitalist or infectious disease specialist, but a lowly opththalmologist who saw the cases and wondered why no one was talking about them.

He put a comment warning his fellow docs on their social media the end of December and was forced to apologize for doing this. 

If China had recognized this might be a new "SARS" and isolated Wuhan while tracing contacts, it might have localized the epidemic.

Instead, they let a couple million folks go home to celebrate Chinese New Year, spreading the disease all over China. And since there was no contact trace or warning, many went overseas to spread the disese.

And China was saying it did not spread person to person through the end of January and the WHO agreed with China that closing the borders was not warranted, and so China, the WHO and many of the US MSM condemned Trumpieboy for closing the US from Chinese flights the end of January.

Now, of course, all of the ordinary slowness and spread and normal chaos is being blamed on Trumpieboy: because politics. And because politics, one simply can't rely on much of the MSM news.

There are a lot of rewriting of history on this: Just look at the comments on any of the discussions on Youtube.

Korea did a good job in stopping the spread of the latest coronavirus. But what I didn't recognize is that they went through this type of threat during a previous outbreak of a more lethal corona virus, MERS. A camel coronavirus from the Middle East that we were starting to prepare for back then, but luckily even though a few of our health care workers came back with it, it did not spread.

Report on how one person with MERS caused a local epidemic in Korea can be found HERE

The index case was a returning traveler from the Middle East. The infection had spread within the hospital, and subsequently to other hospitals because of patient movement, resulting in nosocomial transmission at 16 clinics and hospitals. The epidemic lasted for 2 months, with the government declaring a “virtual” end to the epidemic on July 6, 2015. In order to control the outbreak, the government quarantined 16,993 individuals for 14 days, and the economic loss was estimated at 9.311 trillion Korean won (8.5 billion US dollars) [8].

this patient went to three hospitals before he was diagnosed, and spread it to people in the first two hospitals before someone recognized what he had.

this was mentioned in this audiobook that I am listening to right now:



I posted this interview with the author a few weeks ago from Joe Rogan's podcast:



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in the meanwhile, here in the Philippines, the problem with hunger in unemployed workers and their families is becoming a problem.
LINK LINK2

and now the DOH is backpeddling on the claim about inaccurate tests provided by China after the Chinese embassy protested Pressured the government to withdraw the claim or else.

The embassy claimed the bad batch from China was donated from a private donor and originated from an unlicensed company in China so don't blame China, and that the new batches were as good as the WHO test. 

presumably the fact that someone is making and selling fake tests in China does not mean China is responsible for allowing these companies to defraud people in the midst of an epidemic.

(sort of like how the Chinese government is not responsible for those dying from counterfeit or fake medicines, or for people dying from opioids that originated in China).

and the Chinese trolls are there condemning the DOH for insulting China (in so many words). 

Sigh.

Finally, even though China is claiming the new tests are fine, ABSCBN notes that the tests donated by Jack Ma are being used haven't been checked yet.

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