Monday, November 16, 2020

Typhoon damage

 we are already busy cleaning up

here is a video on youtube about the damage to our Plaza: the Christmas tree was blown over as were some trees and part of the food kiosks ..............
here's another video from the bridge near our town;




the town is cleaning up: a lot of the debris and broken tree limbs have been removed from the streets, and many people have replaced their roofs with new tin roofs or temporary ply wood protection.

Kuya is busy trying to salvage the rice that was blown flat by the winds and repairing the damage to the bodega etc. at the farm.

there are still debris in our front yard, but the fallen banana trees have been removed.

we are still on the water pump, so I guess city water is still low pressure, but the internet and electricity are back.

The bad news? The cable to the modem in my room was cut when the roof (actually the skylight part of the roof) blew off. Since the business wifi reach here I'm able to blog again in my room, at lower bandwidth unless I sit in the living room.

But it's hard to sit in the living room because our female dog is in heat and has been hiding under the rattan chairs while the male dogs fight over her on and off.

Speaking Truth to Power

 quote of the day: 

the rabbi explained that his goal was to defend the “most beautiful idea in the history of civilization," the concept of love as the origin of new life.
"What made the traditional family remarkable, a work of high religious art, is what it brought together: sexual drive, physical desire, friendship, companionship, emotional kinship and love, the begetting of children and their protection and care, their early education and induction into an identity and a history," he explained.
“Seldom has any institution woven together so many different drives and desires. … It made sense of the world and gave it a human face – the face of love.
For a whole variety of reasons, some to do with medical developments like birth control, in vitro fertilization and other genetic interventions, some to do with moral change like the idea that we are free to do whatever we like so long as it does not harm others, some to do with a transfer of responsibilities from the individual to the state … almost everything that marriage once brought together has now been split apart. Sex has been divorced from love, love from commitment, marriage from having children and having children from responsibility for their care."

from a speech given at the 2014 Vatican conference on Marriage by Rabbi Lord Jonathan Sacks, who died this week.

quoted at Get Religion Blog. 



Saturday, November 14, 2020

Conspiracy theories of the day

the final report is in on how Cardinal McCarrick could diddle seminarians, appoint his friends, approve of pro abortion Catholic politicians, and (after retirement) arrange the sell out of the Chinese Catholics is finally out.

Summary here:

 Unele Ted's Cabin: how it was all Vigano's fault.

There was universal rejoicing in the Catholic Church this week when the long-awaited McCarrick report was finally published. The investigators were charged with finding the answer to one simple question: Why don't people like Uncle Ted McCarrick, despite his record of devotion to young seminarians and influence over a generation of bishops, archbishops, and even cardinals? Was it something he said?,,,
No, it is clear where the blame lies - fair and square in the court of Archbishop Carlo Maria ViganĂ², arch-enemy of Pope Francis, and even more so of Cardinals Cupich, Wuerl, Farrell, Tobin, old Uncle Wilt Gregory and all.
You see, Uncle Ted never had a chance. If ViganĂ² had only kept quiet, like Sodano, Bertone, Parolin, and 250 other bishops, then there would never have been a scandal. Writing an 11-page letter full of salacious innendos about a saintly man who was by all accounts a model of hospitality? What good could that do?,

yes, it is a satire, from Eccles is saved Blog.


update: More on the story in this article by George Neumayr

The impression left by all the excuse-making for McCarrick (with some bishops pretending that his sleeping with seminarians was non-sexual) is that of a hopelessly decayed bureaucracy, utterly indifferent to holiness or orthodoxy...
McCarrick’s heterodoxy was as obvious as his depravity. But most of the old letters cited in the report (in which churchmen hesitantly debate his future) never even raise that issue. They all gush about his allegiance to the “magisterium.” There is one intriguing mention of somebody objecting to his support for Theodore Hesburgh’s Land O’ Lakes statement, the 1967 manifesto that called for the secularization of American Catholic colleges. But the complaint went nowhere. Too bad. McCarrick’s support for that document foreshadowed a great deal of mischief, culminating in his suppression of the Congregation for the Doctrine of the Faith’s letter on pro-abortion Catholic pols.

this is the rot that was behind the Pope and Bishops cheering on Biden's election, implying he is a Catholic in good standing.

But his abortion stance puts his soul at risk. Do any of the bishops care? Nah.  

the article Mentions Cardinal Wuerl. Well, in the 1990s when the Altoona abuse scandal was being swept under the rug, and every gay in western Pa knew that priests cruised the bars openly for sex, Wuerl seemed oblivious to the problem. And some of our neighbors were aghast at the permissive "sex education" program he was pushing in Catholic schools.

when they ask why there are so many ex catholics in the USA, this might be one reason: Half of those who leave stop going to any church and the other half migrate to Protestant or (as we saw in Western Pa) Orthodox churches

--------------

ah, but conspiracy theories about pulling boxes of fake votes out of the back room to count (hello Garci, how's it going?) is now passes.

Why do all that work when computers will do it for you?

from GreatGameIndia:

Days after it was revealed how 2020 US Elections were rigged by Canadian Crown Agent Dominion Voting Systems through a so-called “glitch”, now GreatGameIndia has found involvement of another dubious foreign company in US Election meddling. The votes cast by Americans were counted by a bankrupted Spanish company Scytl in Spain. Like Dominion Voting Systems, Scytl has a long history of election fraud in various nations...

Don't ask me. we are busy cleaning up the debris from the typhoon to worry about such shennanigans.

update: From comment on Instapundit 

I put it here mainly because I've scanned a lot of these stories but was too busy to get the details of what was going on.

by George Turner 

As the fraud investigators pointed out, sometimes there's one or two red flags but no fraud, but it's rare to have three, and almost unheard of to have four and not be able to prosecute the case to a successful conviction.

This one has dozens of red flags. During the act, we have:

1) Trump was winning all the keys states by huge margins on election night. Even people here said 2020 was reminding them of exactly what they went though on 2016. And then, in the middle of the night, Biden surged ahead. That doesn't happen in multiple states.

2) All the key states mysterious stopped counting at about 1:00 AM, and only the key states stopped counting. Why would a state do that? Red flag.

3) Georgia claimed they stopped counting, saying the Atlanta arena was flooding from a burst pipe and the vote counters had to be evacuated. That was false. The arena never filed any paperwork for a contractor to come and fix anything. The only confirmation that there was even a leak said it was a minor drip that was quickly mopped up, and was nowhere near the counting. Red flag.

4) Republican observers were sent home because ballot counting had stopped, and that’s when the new fake ballots showed up. The delivery vehicles full of ballots were caught on video. Ballots aren’t normally driven across a state to be counted somewhere else. Red flag.

5) How did Biden’s lead massively increase while ballot counting was stopped? If you’re not counting ballots, the number shouldn’t be changing. Yet it did, by hundreds of thousands, but only for one candidate. That one would cause any international election observer to throw a red flag.

6) Republican election observers weren’t present when the new ballots were arriving in the middle of the night, because they’d been sent home. Another red flag.

7) Republican election observers weren’t allowed to observe in many of the states. Trump is correct, as backed up by their affidavits. Many were barred, many were ejected, some by “security”. In Philly they weren’t allowed to observe, even with a court order. The sheriff blocked them. That went on for days. Huge red flag, and another that UN observers take as evidence of election fraud.

8) Long delays in counting the votes in key states. Under international standards, long delays in vote counting are taken as suspicious, and usually indicate election rigging. Counting just isn’t at all hard compared to making up fake ballots that can survive cursory scrutiny. A long delay likely means they’re making sure they have enough “recount survivable” fraudulent ballots, or enough to cover for a rigged vote tally that was made up on election night.

9) All the long counting delays concerned cities with a long history of machine politics and rampant election fraud.

10) Observed real-time vote tally’s in multiple states where Trump or Jorgensen’s total count decreased. Negative votes aren’t supposed to exist. That’s a sign that the election were being hacked.

11) Mail-in-ballots arriving in Pennsylvania before they were even shipped out. That can’t happen in this universe, and is definite sign of fraud.

12) Large numbers of dead people, who were born over a hundred years ago, being recorded as having voted. I’ve confirmed plenty of those myself.

13) Large number of women reporting that someone voted under their maiden name. This happened to some of the women I comment with.

14) Large numbers of people showing up on election day and being told they’d all ready voted.

15) Republicans checking to make sure their ballot was recorded and finding out that it wasn’t, and then having to harass election officials for days to get it recorded. This happened to a blogger I’ve read for years, who happens to be a member of the US diplomatic corps.

16) The use of different voting standards in Democrat counties compared to Republican counties. One of Trump’s lawsuits is based on that.

17) New ballots showing up days after the election. The number of ballots still to be counted kept increasing, for days in some counties. Nothing like this remotely happened in normal states.

18) Late changes to election laws (in many states) and last-minute changes to election procedures and standards. Changing the system virtually during the act is a sign of election rigging by people in power. Trump has already had some rulings in his favor on that issue, as state election officials only have the power to enforce election laws, not to modify them on the fly.

19) Turning off or turning down voter signature verification so fraudulent ballots aren’t caught. This occurred in most or all of the key states. One reporter in Arizona voted nine times under different names, and all but one of the votes passed their signature checks. Pennsylvania’s mail-in-ballot rejection rate plummeted from 0.95% to 0.03%. It should’ve gone up because of the vast influx of first-time mail-in-voters, who often have a 3% rejection rate in that state. Since only election officials (the people running the election) can do that, it is a sign of election rigging.

20) Observations of people outside election areas making fake ballots. Some of this is on video, with “activists” signing multiple ballots just outside the election locations, with boxes of ballots in their vehicles, and with attempts to keep people from photographing them.

21) That the media was making very unsupportable calls on election night, all favoring one candidate over the other. In other countries, this is taken as evidence of a thumb on the scales.

22) The press suppression all allegations of voter fraud. Again, that happens in banana Republicans and is often evidence of voter fraud. Note that the same media organizations doing this are the ones who spent four years hyping every last hint that the Russian’s may have flipped even one vote, or that big data may have been used, or that dozens of people trolling Facebook counts as election rigging.

23) A rush to be declared the winner and get a concession, so as to avoid any recounts or investigation into election irregularities. Shoplifters try to get out the door as quickly as possible, just as all criminals try to avoid being searched or questioned.

24) Attempts to intimidate opposition lawyers. Some of the law firms hired by Trump have quit because of attacks, doxing, threats to their firms, and death threats. This is common in corrupt countries where an election has been rigged, and is a clear indication that one party does not want any evidence presented because it will expose their criminal activities, or show that the rigged an election. In normal legal practice, law firms are rarely if ever threatened, even when they’re defending ISIS terrorists.

25) People coming forward saying they were paid money to rig the election. That’s was already happening even prior to the election.

26) Whistle blowers coming forward saying they were told to perform illegal acts to sway the election. We’ve already got those.

27) Attempts to suppress and intimidate whistle blowers, along with attempts to silence or discredit them. We’ve already had that.

28) Attempts by top officials to suppress evidence that there was a coordinated effort to rig the election. We’ve had that too, with threats by a state AG to prosecute a reporter for playing a tape of instructions being given to election workers, in which they were told to attack Republican observers and throw away Republican ballots.

29) Attempts by media or other large communications concerns to suppress any discussions of election rigging, or anything questioning the results of the election. We’ve got that happening at Communist Chinese levels of censorship. The conservative half of the country can’t say anything on Twitter or Facebook. This just screams organized election fraud.

30) Organized media and tech suppression, to extreme levels, of stories that would harm their candidate, especially stories about ongoing criminal behavior. It means access to public information is being restricted, and if they will do that, they will do anything else. In other countries that is taken as a glaring red flag that the media is as corrupt as the system itself.

Statistical red flags

31) Extremely large and unusual voter turnouts in key areas that overwhelmingly favor one candidate. This is very prevalent, and also appeared in Putin’s re-election.

32) Voter turnouts that are above 90%. The highest turnouts in 60 or70 years in some areas (breaking records set when election rigging was commonplace), while most areas have close-to-normal turnouts, is a red flag of of election rigging to all international observers.

33) Voter turnouts exceeding 100%. If you run out of people long before you run out of ballots to count, you’re obviously counting fake ballots. In this election, some precincts exceeded 200% turnout.

34) extremely high turnouts for one candidate among certain demographics, which didn’t occur in similar cities in nearby non-battleground states that have similar demographics. This sticks out with a sore thumb where ever you look in this election, with northern Indiana and northern Ohio looking nothing like Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota, or Atlanta compared to Birmingham, etc.

For example, in Miami-Date, Baltimore city, and New York City’s five counties, Joe Biden got less votes than Obama or Hillary (99%, 99% and 76%). He barely outperformed Hillary in Chicago (up 4%), Columbus (11%), San Francisco (8%), Boston (3%), Washington DC (8%), New Orleans (10%), Arlington VA (14%). But then he does 50% better in places like Phoenix and Colorado Springs, 40% better in Austin, and 32% better in Atlanta? And Biden does this after ditching the Democrats’ famous and effective voter-turnout ground game?

35) Unusual ratios of Biden votes in mail-in-ballots in only certain areas. In Pennsylvania, Biden’s gap over Trump in mail-in-ballots was 40% of Trump’s lead in same-day voting, across all counties, except in the problem areas around Philly, where the gap inexplicably skyrocketed.

36) Swings in the Biden/Trump ratio of mail-in-ballots over time. When you look at the time when mail-in-ballots were counted, they’ve been randomized by the individual voters’ daily routines, personal procrastination levels, pickup routes, post-office procedures, sign-in times, and where they got placed on the floor at the election sites. The ratio should be like an isotopic signature at the point, and be extremely constant, as it is in non-key states. In the problem areas were fraud is historically highly prevalent, this ratio goes nuts, with the later ballots becoming more and more skewed towards Biden. The only way that can happen is through fraud.

37) Biden getting more and more of the expected number of votes, as predicted by the ratio of straight-ticket voters, as a district or precinct becomes more heavily Republican, again judged by the ratio of straight-ticket voters. This can only happen via a computer algorithm, because real voters don’t know how everybody else is voting, much less defect to Biden the more Republican their district is. In fact, the opposite should happen due to social influences like seeing thousands of signs supporting their favored candidate. This is very clear evidence of intentional election rigging via computer, and appears on a very wide scale.

38) Straight lines showing up in scatter plots that should look random. This is related to red flag #37, and show up in data in Wisconsin. Real data is messy, and when a statistical analysis turns that mess into a perfect, straight line, you’re seeing the work of a computer rigging results, not the actions of human beings who are hard to predict, and who drink a lot and sometimes lick Tide Pods.

39) The polls, which were wildly wrong, apparently got the suspect states surprisingly more accurate than states that got their ballots counted quickly. Basically, it looks almost like the vote in the late-counting states is being rigged to match polls that were wildly off everywhere else. Obviously all the pollsters shouldn’t have been close only in a couple of states.

40) It’s pretty much impossible for the result to deviate so much from the bellwether counties. Even if we’d been holding elections since before the Big Bang happened, we still wouldn’t have had a result where even eleven of seventeen bellwethers were wrong. This time 14 of them missed. Statistically, that simply can’t happen. When you find a result that is statistically virtually impossible, it is. So Biden forgot to rig the bellwether counties when he was rigging the key states, because only statisticians care about bellwethers.

41) The New York times election night live feed of raw data – for Virginia. Virginia is odd in that it apparently allows fractional voting, so a batch will come in that looks like this:
Batch stamp (GMT) Biden #, Trump #, Biden %, Trump %
2020-11-04T13:02:17Z 252.39 210.09 54.573171% 45.426829%

That one had 252.39 votes for Biden, and 210.09 votes for Trump, which were added to the running totals.

42) But the fractional voting gets weirder, because some of the batches have huge negative votes, like 2020-11-04T05:12:38Z, which had -37,510.39 votes for Trump. Kind of odd, eh?

43) But it gets weirder. In that dump, the first seven batches each gave Trump 45.4278% of the batch total, even when the number of votes was 11.28 to 9.39 or 1544.41 to 1285.57. The standard deviation of the Trump % of those 7 batches was 0.001653%, or a thousandth of a percent. The next 11 batches shifted slightly, giving Trump 45.22% of the vote, with a standard deviation of 0.02587%. The second group differed from the first group by 7 standard deviation of the second group, and 125 standard deviations of the first group. Only a machine creating fake ballots could do this, and by the way, there’s no such thing as a floating point vote. My assumption is that some coder didn’t realize he’d declared the wrong data type for his fake vote generator – which fed the New York Times election feed.

44) Hundreds of thousands of votes came in for Biden, out of nowhere, late in the night, while hundreds of thousands of Trump votes disappeared from the totals. The vote ratio on the later batches didn’t look remotely like what it had been in the first 125 batches of votes, in which Trump was taking a commanding lead. It’s like someone saw Trump was easily winning Virginia and hit the election-rigging panic button.

I’m sure I’ve forgotten many, many other red flags, but the point is that three or four red flags usually indicate a strong case for conducting an investigation 



?............

Someone said Chomsky used to complain theCIA and big business used to manipulate elections.


I am so old I remember it was the left who worried about these things.

and here we have big tech manipulating the news, the press which is run by a few mega corporations pushing propaganda and covering up stories that make Trump look good (mideast peace plan, the vaccine, his prison reform proposals) while ignoring the implications of bribing Biden via his son....and one wonders if there is dirt on harris that has been covered up


??............



Update. 


Independent reporter Micael Yon covered a lot of wars, and I am most familiar of his coverage of the Hong Kong demonstrations.


He was stopped from going back there so has started covering the US riots that the MSM calls peaceful protests.


He just covered the MAGA march and his conclusions are disturbing.... 

He senses a civil war is coming.

Read the whole thing.


Link via American digest


http://americandigest.org/long-read-of-the-week-michael-yon-writes-his-dispatch-veterans-day-2020-in-front-of-the-white-house-washington-d-c/



----------------------------------

rather than start a new blog post, I am just adding stuff here to read later on my tablet. This is from a commenter on Instapundit who presumably is not trying to make money off of his posts like a lot of the fake news. The interesing thing he claims is that the suspicious numbers were in white areas, which correlates with press reports that I've seen about Trumpieboy losing white men. But that doesn't make sense to me: not just policy, but the lack of testosterone suggests Biden didn't impress most white men outside of university elite centers, and of course these types voted for Hillary four years ago.

in other words, did Trump lose the blue collar "Regan Democrats"? unlikely.

but his figures are for Georgia and I know nothing about the state. \(In contrast, I am well aware of the corruption in Philly, and as guiliani noted, they've been stealing votes and voting the dead for 60 years. I also wonder if they fixed the machines in New Mexico that made it hard for me to vote for Bush (it took 4 times, because it kept changing my vote right before I posted it).in 2000 but that's another story.


. George Turner.

Here's some Georgia county data I'd been working with.

The big Biden games have a moderate negative correlation to the county's black population percentage, and the correlation has a high significance (very low p value). Biden's big gains did not come from the heavily black counties. The big gains came from the very white, Republican counties.

Hopefully this will cut and paste.

County,2016 Hillary,2016 Trump,2016 total,2020 Biden,2020 Trump,2020 Total,County,2019 pop,%black
Appling,1434,5494,7005,1779,6526,8341,Appling,"18,386",19.60%
Atkinson,697,1878,2610,825,2300,3155,Atkinson,"8,165",19.60%
Bacon,608,3364,4019,625,4018,4668,Bacon,"11,164",15.70%
Baker,650,775,1440,652,897,1555,Baker,"3,038",50.40%
Baldwin,7970,7697,16086,9140,8903,18251,Baldwin,"44,890",43.00%
Banks,684,6134,6950,932,7795,8801,Banks,"19,234",3.20%
Barrow,6580,21108,28831,10453,26804,37921,Barrow,"83,240",11.00%
Bartow,8212,29911,39306,12092,37674,50467,Bartow,"107,738",10.20%

Ben Hill,2101,3739,5931,2392,4110,6560,Ben Hill,"16,700",34.60

 Berrien,1047,5422,6584,1269,6419,7743,Berrien,"19,397",10.70%

Bibb,36787,24043,62277,43468,26585,70802,Bibb,"153,159",47.30%
Bleckley,1101,3719,4943,1311,4328,5706,Bleckley,"12,873",27.30%
Brantley,619,5567,6292,699,6991,7746,Brantley,"19,109",2.90%
Brooks,2528,3701,6318,2790,4260,7100,Brooks,"15,457",39.34%
Bryan,4014,10529,15085,6739,14244,21340,Bryan,"39,627",14.20%
Bulloch,9261,15097,25248,11243,18386,30084,Bulloch,"79,608",27.60%
Bruke,4731,4491,9351,5209,5400,10684,Burke,"22,383",49.50%
Butts,2566,6717,9477,3274,8406,11771,Butts,"24,936",27.30%
Calhoun,1179,830,2025,1260,932,2203,Calhoun,"6,189",61.30%
Camden,5930,12310,18869,7967,15251,23688,Camden,"54,666",19.40%
Candler,1026,2664,3763,1269,3134,4432,Candler,"10,803",24.40%
Carroll,12464,30029,43839,16238,37476,54474,Carroll,"119,992",18.20%
Catoosa,4771,20876,26528,6932,25167,32593,Catoosa,"67,580",2.20%
Charlton,1004,2951,4009,1103,3419,4566,Charlton,"13,392",29.26%
Chatham,62290,45688,111481,78254,53237,133420,Chatham,"289,430",40.10%
Chattahoochee,594,751,1390,667,880,1582,Chattahoochee,"10,907",18.80%
Chattooga,1613,6462,8252,1854,8064,10050,Chattooga,"24,789",11.14%
Cherokee,25231,80649,110895,42794,99587,144830,Cherokee,"258,783",5.65%
Clarke,29603,12717,44339,36048,14446,51333,Clarke,"128,331",26.60%
Clay,697,566,1271,790,637,1434,Clay,"2,834",38.43%
Clayton,78220,12646,92513,95476,15813,112344,Clayton,"292,256",66.10%
Clinch,686,1727,2447,747,2105,2864,Clinch,"6,618",27.70%
Cobb,160121,152912,327499,221846,165459,393746,Cobb,"760,141",25.00%
Coffee,4094,9588,13915,4511,10578,15214,Coffee,"43,273",26.60%
Colquitt,3463,9898,13601,4187,11777,16083,Colquitt,"45,600",22.40%
Columbia,18887,43085,64242,29236,50013,80579,Columbia,"156,714",11.21%
Cook,1753,4176,6041,2059,4900,7035,Cook,"17,210",27.30%
Coweta,16583,42533,61351,24210,51501,76799,Coweta,"148,509",18.40%
Crawford,1421,3635,5162,1615,4428,6102,Crawford,"12,630",22.30%
Crisp,2837,4549,7512,2986,4987,8039,Crisp,"22,372",43.00%

Another interesting thing was that the standard deviation in the increase in turnout was 7%, meaning the counties varied a bit in turnout increase. The standard deviation in Trump's vote increase over 2016 was also 7%. But Biden's increase over Hillary had a standard deviation of 18%. It was all over the place, as if they were rigging as much as they could wherever they could.
The table lists total votes from 2016 and 2020, along with the 2019 population estimate and the black percentage. Everything else can be calculated from there. So dividing Biden 2020 by Hillary 2016 gives the percent increase for Biden, and the same can be done for Trump.

Probably fake votes and stolen votes. The Dominion algorithms MIT found didn't touch heavily Democratic areas. They focused on stealing votes from Republican areas.

The left's narrative for Georgia is that Biden saw a massive increase in black turnout, but the data doesn't support that. For example, Baker counter is 50.4% black, but Biden only got 2 more votes than Hillary did, an increase of 0.3%

In contrast, Cherokee County is only 5.6% black, and against Hillary Trump carried it by better than a 3:1 margin, and yet this time Biden went up by 69.6%. That sounds like election rigging.


--------------------------

on the other hand, Dilbert says despite lots of evidence the court case probably won't help: which is why the Supreme court justices overseeing the cases are the most conservative types, chosen because they will follow the law and be non partisan, so if they rule against Trump the Trumpettes won't riot.

Typhoon update: Cleaning up

 Busy cleaning up.

the city water is running but low pressure so we turned our deep well pump back on... and so we have enough water to do the cleaning up. 

Lolo made this place in the days when city water was iffy (very low pressure, so usually you had to leave it on to drip into a bucket, and then put the water through a ceramic filter if you wanted to drink it... so he had a pump installed).

Kuya is at the farm trying to harvest and dry the flattened rice before it starts to rot/deteriorate. Hopefully it will dry out nicely but it might be poorer quality so we'll have to sell it to be used as white rice (low quality) instead of our organic brown rice brand.

Sigh.

The wash machine was used so much yesterday that the belt broke: we replaced it today.

The good news: The internet is back on.

The bad news: The wire to the modem in my room was broken when the roof section blew off. So I am linked via the office internets: Either Joy's Huawei or the PLDT via the upstairs office, both of which reach my room with low signal.

Lots of people asking for money. Sigh. And now a niece of the cook age 37 has renal failure and needs help to pay for dialysis. Sigh.

She should get a kidney transplant of course, but that's so expensive it's out of the question. Luckily the town does have "Free" dialysis for the poor, so the price is low for her.

Friday, November 13, 2020

typhoon report 2

Kuya says that the unharvested rice was flattened by th wind and probably will be a loss for us and the other farmers. This will be a major disaster for local folks. 

For some reason, the price of rice is low (cheap imports under pricing local farmers? I am not sure why) And the low price for rice means that those who sold it won't have a good profit, and those like us who store it to sell lare when demand is up might also lose out income.

Kuya reports a lot of trees were toppled and trees and debris blocking the roads. The electricity remains out, because of tree damage to power lines, although the maid said it went on in her part of town this morning.

A lot of tin roofs were blown off here in town and in the nearby farm areas.. Our bodega at the farm lost its roof so we may lose part of the stored rice there. Our maid's home hhad the roof blown off so I gave her 20 dollrs for plywood etc for a temporary roof. Parts of town were flooded near the river, and Joys friend in Marikina, in Manila, said their house is under water (that area is below sea level and the surveyers had imposed a no build zone there years ago, but their warnings were ignored and corruption allows middle class houses ti be built there).

And in other bad news...a tree fell on our breeding hen turkey. 
The good new? She was delicious...

........
UPDATE
The 30 foot high Christmas tree in the plaza blew down. The ferris wheel looks ok. Some of the food kiosks on the end collapsed. Lots of downed or sagging wires in the street. The mango tree across the street was having it's cracked branches removed and the edges of the street is full of debris  
But the streedt itself is now clear.
..........
Update 2

Electricity is back on. Thank you to the electric company

Thursday, November 12, 2020

typhoon report

The typhoon went thru last night. The city turned off the electricity at midnight as the winds got bad ...the eye of the typhoon passed over us at 4 am, and the winds after it passed was worse than before...pat of our roof blew off, and rain flooded the dining room.  We had lots to clean up but except for a small leak in the bathroom ceiling the bedrooms were ok.

The banana trees in the front yard all were blown down but the palm trees and other trees were ok

No electricity but we turned our generator on at 4 pm after the rain had stopped and the hole in the roof was covered with a tarp.

At 4 pm Kuya drove to the farm to check the stored rrice and to see if the rice in the 2 small fields that havent been harvested yet were destroyed. Hopfully the roads will be cleared of debris so he can get there.

I think this is the 4th major typhoon that hit us since I moved here 15 years ago...not the worst one...and this is the second time the eye went over our town.


Wednesday, November 11, 2020

The bad news: Another typhoon. The Good news? a vaccine is coming

 Another day, another typhoon. LINK



we are signal one, and the typhoon is expected to hit way south of here, meaning we will be hit mainly with rain...unless of course it turns north.

another report here.(ManilaBulletin)

it should hit us early Thursday so the news is subject to change.

-------------

 and in other news, as expected a covid vaccine will soon be available: of course, it's just a coincidence that the announcement was released shortly after the election.... Silly me, just because Pfizer lied that they were not part of the operation warp speed (they were) doesn't mean they might delay the release to please their political allies.

the bad news? the Pfizer vaccine requires refrigeration, so that is a problem for poorer tropical countries.

But of course, this won't be the only vaccine that will be quickly available: not just from the USA but from other countries.



he notes that 47 vaccines are also due to be released/approved in the next few weeks.

Duterte is planning to borrow 300 million dollars to buy the vaccines from the US or from China to stop the epidemic here... but does note that countries will use the vaccine for their own folks so it might be a wait for us to get some.

This is good news, since the economic shutdown is literally killing people in the third world (from malnutrition, from other diseases not being treated properly because people are afraid of going to the hospital) and if the economic problems continue, of course, there is a danger of revolutions.

and note the good doctor mentions that we still face a problem this winter, before the vaccine has been give to enough people to stop covid while the usual winter influenza will probably be killing folks too as it does every year. So hospitals will remain busy.

==========

The press is all pushing Biden won, and here it is assumed to be true.

But there are lots of stuff being questioned including why the MSM declared victory before the counting was finished, or when the numbers were too close to call. Instapundit has a lot of links on their site (Libertarian site). but the real news is that Real Clear politics has an article declaring the election should not have been declared so early. LINK

Under the contentious circumstances of this election, the traditional media’s decision to declare a victor before the official process had run its course has diminished the confidence of Trump voters in the announced result. Even if the declaration of a Biden victory is found to be accurate, the call was premature, and it will make the effort to unify our nation far more difficult.


sounds about right. And the censorship of stories questioning the accuracy of these stories are being censored by the MSM and the big social media.


...

don't ask me: I can't keep up to date with the kerfuffle.

 our internet is still going off and on during the daytime,  either because kids are overloading the lines doing school work or because PLDT is busy replacing aging lines with fiberoptic cables in our rea.

and Joy is now using a Huawei modem so she can do her zoom calls. She does the business outreach part for us and for an organic coop of farmers in nearby Bulacan.

(Kuya does the farming and is at the farm most of the day trying to get the rice crop in, and dried between typhoon rains. If the crop is not dried properly, the quality of rice goes down so we can't sell it as our gourmet produce, although we can sell it for a lower price as lower quality white rice).

the usual way to dry rice is to spread it on the ground and let the sun dry it; if it rains you have to use a rice drier, and the line at the rice merchants is often long so you might have to wait.

so the repeated heavy rains from nearby typhoons is not helping things.

Me? I'm just busy reading books since the internet is not available during the day.With the rain, often I don't get my afternoon walk with the dogs, so am using Lolo's exercize bike.

But the good news is that since the internet works at night we can still watch our KDramas. Yeeah!
-------------
update: we are now on a signal 3 warning... rain but no wind yet. Typhoon should his in early am.

Monday, November 09, 2020

learning from Hello Garci

Biden puts the Hello Garci scandal to shame.

https://www.phillife.co/hello-garci-scandal/

The hello garci scandal was about rigging an election with illegal votes, but soon was diverted into arguing ig the tapes were altered to make it look like the votes were altered. By changing the subject the boxes of illegal ballots and who cooperated in the fraud was ignored.

One result was a push toward electronic voting machines.

Another result was those helping out thought they were above the law.

https://www.bulatlat.com/2011/08/07/what-happened-to-the-hello-garci-protagonists/

The press here reported the story even in the face of a strict libel law and the knowledge that they could be murdered.

The US press however does not have those excuses, although they could lose their jobs for badthink

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/new-york-times-opinion-editor-resigns-amid-fallout-over-op-n1227081

Here is a short summary of irregularites, many of which (like watergste) are reported by reporters who cover local stories.



https://www.americanthinker.com/articles/2020/11/wait_just_a_minute_some_very_good_news_may_be_coming.html

But where is the free press? 

Why are the tech companies censoring people who aren'f following the party line.

And I suppose it is just a matter of time until non pc blogs are taken off the internet instead of just not appearing in google searches.

And where are religious leaders who pretend that their members and institutions won't be forced to comply with government policies or else so are staying silent? 

As a physician I will bring up one important story...Euthanasia and abortion will probably forced on catholic hospitals and hospices as is being done in Canada and some Europen countries...

and if Biden doesn' t mandate it in the way Obamacare has let officials persecute the Little sisters of the poor for refusing to pay for birth control and abortifactant pills, the mandates will come from packing the Supreme court to make these things into law similar to the Abortion and gay marriage was mandated with the idea you are not allowed to ignore or modify their rulin. And the MSM will cheer them along, while the complacent catholic bishops will remain silent, as did Mc Carrick back them.


https://www.catholicnewsagency.com/news/catholic-hospital-in-nova-scotia-required-to-offer-assisted-suicide-euthanasia-63605

Biden is now being lauded  for saying he plans to heal a divided Americs

https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1358105/time-to-heal

An example of the bias other countries are reading.

And what was left out of the story?

Plans calling for reeducation of those with bad think (Robert Reich). What could go wrong?

or blacklisting those who voted wrong (Aoc and the Trump accountability project)
https://www.trumpaccountability.net/

The old Biden could reach out and get unity. Instead he is obeying his masters which is why the blue collar voters turned on him.

And if you are really patanoid, you would see this as part of the great reset.

https://www.weforum.org/great-reset

And don't dare to let anyone differ with you.

https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/new-york-times-opinion-editor-resigns-amid-fallout-over-op-n1227081

Cardinal Vigano warned us about this.

https://taylormarshall.com/2020/10/archbishop-viganos-open-letter-president-trump-great-reset.html

Not just Vigano and not just this election. I am reading Cardinal Sarahs book which warns of the same thing.

https://churchlifejournal.nd.edu/articles/cardinal-sarahs-warning-to-the-west/

And Cardinal Ratzinger saw the philosophical and spiritual collapse of europe and the west as leading to this many years ago.

https://b-ok.asia/book/2739214/e27b03?dsource=recommend&regionChanged=&redirect=37837368

Its not about Trump, you know. If Biden truly believed in god, he could unite the country. But never mind.

https://www.enotes.com/homework-help/please-explain-the-significance-of-this-quotation-332002  

Saturday, November 07, 2020

Volcano factoid of the day

http://www.vesuvius.tomgidwitz.com/html/5__eyewitnesses.html

Mt Vesuvius was observed erupting by Hannibal, and of course the eruption that destroyed Pompei was described by Pliny the Younger, and the as killed his uncle Piny the Elder who went there to try to rescue friends.

But I didn't know that Sir William Hamilton's observations resulted in his bein called one of the first volcanologists.

Hamilton is best known today for his wife who later became the mistrss of Lord Nelson, and was played by Vivian Lee in this classic film (her then husband, Lawrence Olivier, played Nelson.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/That_Hamilton_Woman

https://youtu.be/mN1ZjanTr_c


Friday, November 06, 2020

Overseas citizens and military are disinfranchised, and why I don't rely on the internet

 I just got an email from Democrats Abroad in Manila to tell me to insist that they count our ballots.

Actually I haven't voted since moving here: Partly because my last voting address was Oklahoma and the Republicans there would overwhelm my little vote, and partly because I am not up to date to vote on local candidates there, but mainly because the mail is so slow that even if I send it in early, it might arrive late. 

My latest mail to the USA took 3 weeks to get there, but the latest letter from the US to me was posted in late August. But even in good times, (pre covid) it took 2 to 3 weeks for "snail mail" to arrive. Much of the delay if from Manila to our town, which takes 7 to ten days on average. 

But the worse delay was a pension check mailed in February that arrived damaged and unreadable in late July. 

So the DemocratsAbroad. are correct in worrying that ex pats (overseas Americans) and others (especially military votes) will not be counted.  

No link, but I sort of remember in 2000, when they were arguing about "hanging chads" in Florida, that at the same time lots of military ballots were never counted because they arrived too late.

The Military Times has a similar worry. LINK and the numbers are significant if the election is close:

Overall in 2016, there were 252,574 military absentee ballots counted by all the states; and 382,896 absentee ballots from U.S. citizens overseas, according to the U.S. Election Assistance Commission. As everyone has seen, the margins of votes in this election are changing rapidly as more votes are counted. Military and overseas citizens' votes will be counted by election officials, but the fact that some states have previously carved out later deadlines to allow for more transit times for these ballots could make a difference.


that is one of the reasons for allowing counting of late ballots.

of course, when the law allows things like this, you have to remember it also allows people to discover ballot boxes in the back room: this is especially important when they don't require postmarks to be validated, or when the late ballots hint of fraud (i.e. too high a count for one side, or when more people voted than are registered, or when they find a ballot or two registered to a dead person, which makes one wonder how many fraudulent ballots will be overlooked.

so it looks like it will be another fight to see who wins. Nothing new here, alas, but the important news is that there haven't been riots: it looks like people are still trusting the constitution to play out according to law.

The best quip about all of this is from Dilbert:

Episode 1176 Scott Adams: Even the Looters Don’t Know What to do Now.

My son swears by NPR which tells him only Trump is worried about fraud. My take? I don't have one. But I don't especially trust NPR or most of the MSM here: the rule is that if they don't get the facts correct about things you know about, don't trust them about things you don't know about. And the distortion about the Philippines news and about the covid epidemic is there, although it's hard to tell if the distortions are from opinion pieces or regular news (they need to lable the difference, since it's hard to tell the difference when you get the news on line).

I get most of my news on line. And our internet problems mean I haven't been able to keep up with the deluge of propaganda from both sides. So if I haven't written about the election, it is because I have a life, and typhoons and epidemics and worry if the rice crop will survive and get harvested sort of seem more important right now.

I just don't trust the MSM, and the censorship of the conservative voices by social media to eliminate the right wing propaganda and fake news means it's hard to find the reasonable opinions from the other side.

I suspect that there will be a breakup of the social media no matter who wins, similar to the breakup of AT&T or IBM in the past, The monopoly laws go back to Teddy Roosevelt, so don't blame Trumpieboy (or Biden) when this happens.

Nor is the fight between government and huge internet based monopolies limited to the USA: The UKGuardian has an article about Jack Ma vs Xi. 

well, anyway, I haven't been able to follow a lot of the kerfuffle in the US elections for the last six weeks.

 Our internet has been going off and on during the day (the phone company is upgrading their cable to carry the traffic from all the kids at home using the internet to  take classes, so often the internet doesn't work while they are working on the line). So the only time I know I can get on line is early in the morning, before 8 am.

To complicate matter we have had heavy rain and two nearby typhoons and brownouts.

But the main reason is that Joy is using my computer. Sometimes it is because the secretary (part time) is using it to update the books and data, and other times Joy uses my newer computer in order to do her zoom business conferences. But not just during the day: because the internet is off much of the time during the day, Joy is up late at night using my computer to do her email and business stuff late at night when the internet is working.

it is a real problem for Joy's business: Often the internet is out when she is on conference calls, so she has to link to the internet via her phone, which is expensive and slow. 

So yesterday, she signed up for Huawei internet link. Yes, it will cost a bit, but cheaper and faster for business, (G5 link? I have no idea). She has the modem in her room, but it reaches to the dining room for the rest of us to connect if we wish.


-----------------------------

update: most of the local English papers here in the Philippines (run by the oligarchy that loves the Democrats) are comparing the confusion of the USA election to Marcos trying to stop the counting of legal ballots against him. But they sort of over look that many of the mail in ballots coming in late resemble the "Hello Garci" scandal, where a certain lovely president was recorded talking to a local bigshot asking him to make sure the ballots were being done properly, which most folks here interpreted as telling him to bring out the pre filled out ballots from the back room.

That scandal was one reason the Philippines paid a lot of money to get electronic voting machines.

a lot of what is happening, from the "BLM" and "antifa" demonstrations to the Democratic DA's who refuse to prosecute rioters, to the mail in ballot scheme, are all seen by Trump and his followers as a conspiracy (many of Trump's backers are Democrats who are upset that the extreme left took over their party).

But one does see the censorship of social media against the "deplorables", and the MSM is not very curious about checking on possible cheating, so one suspects the end result will be that the most productive and hard working folks in the USA will essentially be disenfranchised again by corrupt politicians of both parties who like the status quo where they can get rich. (another story rarely reported outside of the small right wing media which has since been banished from Youtube and facebook and twitter).

Not much I can do about any of this of course: When I pray, I only get the small quiet feeling that this is a chastisement for the USA and ultimately for the world.

As for us, a Biden presidency would mean letting China get away with their shennanigans stealing our fish and our petroleum reserves. StrategyPage has a longish essay on what is going on here LINK

Thursday, November 05, 2020

Cemetary time

In the USA, they celebrate Haloween, in Mexico the celebrate the day of the dead, but here they have Undas, where the family visits the graves of their loved ones, cleans up and decorates the grave, and then stays awhile and has a picnic.

Not this year, however...Here the mayor explains why the cemeteries are closed for Undas, 

.

oh well... after Lolo died, I would visit his grave almost every day the first year and after that about once a week. But since the virus hit, I haven't been there at all. I haven't been at mass either, or gone to the mall for almost a year.

But one problem with the cemeteries being closed is that funerals are also delayed: so the little old lady who lives next door had to remain unburied for 6 days.

No, not Covid: She was 90 years old and was sitting outside in the morning and felt sick and came in the house and died quietly.

She has lots of relatives: so delaying a funeral is not unusual... often the burial is delayed for overseas relatives, but of course, now no body is coming in from overseas because they might have to wait in quarantine for two weeks. (Latest rules are here because they keep changing).

well,l anyway, they held a wake at her home since she died, and there are a lot of neighbors and extended family coming to visit. Usually this means you come and say a quick prayer and then sit around eating snacks and socializing: Often the men play cards outside under an awning....  so it means the street is partly blocked, and we have cars and tricycles parked in front of our garage. No problem: We parked the large truck in the front garden.

Last night they had music to entertain the visitors, with a singer and recorded music. But this morning, they hired a band to play very sad music that makes me want to cry... 

usually the band accompanies the deceased to the church and then to the cemetery. However, churches are still closed, so no Mass. Father will bless the gravesite and say prayers for her there.

No, I am not going with them: to far for me to walk in procession, but the cook is going and I gave her money for a tricycle. She and our secretary will represent our family at the funeral.

The cook goes to all the funerals: She is probably related to half the people in our barangay (neighborhood) and she knows everyone and knows all the news and rumors in our town.

Joy had a rice delivery today and has to drop off some papers, and will try to pick up my renewed retirement visa papers. Due to the virus, they don't expect me to pick it up myself as I had to do in past years.

The young men accompanying the delivery arrived at 3:20 a.m. and kept ringing the bell and got all the dogs upset, so the noise woke me up. The truck and driver arrived at 4 am,.. the traffic to Manila is terrible, and although without traffice it takes 3 hours, sometimes it actually takes 5 hours and more if the inspection line is long. The road is improved from when we first moved here, but with increased prosperity it means more cars and trucks too. 

so anyway I've been up since 3:30 am and will probably go back to sleep after lunch.

Kuya harvested rice at the farm yesterday, and may finish drying it today if the sunshine continues. There is alas another typhoon due to hit the Philippines but this one is aiming at the far north, so unless it is large, we shouldn't be bothered with heavy rain.

They were very worried about Typhoon last week, but luckily for Manila and for us, it changed course south a bit and missed us... it hit a less populated rural area, and it went through quickly (meaning not dumping a lot of rain to flood everywhere).

To put things into perspective, here is a paragraph from the AP report on the typhoon.

About 20 typhoons and storms annually batter the Philippines, and the Southeast Asian archipelago is seismically active, with earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, making it one of the world’s most disaster-prone countries.

 and not just earthquakes, volcanoes and typhoons: Don't forget Dengue fever. There seems to be fewer cases this year, probably because everyone stayed inside due to covid.

A year after the national dengue epidemic was declared, she said reported dengue cases have dropped from 430,282 in 2019 to 59,675 in 2020... dengue deaths have also significantly dropped from 1,612 deaths in 2019 to 231 in 2020.

compare this to covid: 

the ministry said total confirmed cases had increased to 388,137, while deaths had reached 7,367. The Philippines has the second-highest number of COVID-19 cases and deaths in Southeast Asia behind Indonesia.

in the meanwhile, the country is making plans to use a vaccine as soon as it is available: Duterte perfers the Russian Sputnik vaccine or the US Moderna vaccine.  link2

The US moderna vaccine should have been released in September, but has been held up because of Politics, which seems crazier than usual in the USA this year. Yup. let people die because Trump. And of course the anti vaxers would let thousands die rather than risk a dozen deaths from side effects. 

and this doesn't count the deaths from malnutrition and because people aren't getting treatable diseases treated because they are afraid of going to the hospital.

Sigh.


Monday, November 02, 2020

good news the typhoon missed us

The typhoon aiming at the heart of Manila veered south, and moved quickly through the country, meaning rain damage was limited.

So very bad damage, but to rural areas, not Manila where millions live in crowded slums, and where thousands could have died instead of only a dozen people.

 and we only had rain so maybe our remaining rice can be harvested.

The bad news. Another storm due next week.

Sunday, November 01, 2020

Remembering our family in heaven

 the usual Undas celebration (for all Saints day/day to remember the dead) is forbidden due to the virus, with the gates locked and armed police guarding the entrances to the various older (ungated) and newer (gated) areas. Even the funeral for our next door neighbor will have to wait five days until they allow the cemeteries to reopen. 

Of course, with the news warning us that a supertyphoon is due to hit Luzon tonite, we are staying home. But so far this morning it is cloudy and the atmosphere is heavy, but no rain or wind yet...the calm before the storm.


.....

Lolo's grave is under the floor because he wanted a plain gravesite as they do in the USA...alas no open sites were available so we had to buy a plot where there were only small houses and usually the tomb is on top of the floor, but we placed his grave under the floor as he wished, which means there is a larger area for us to party/celebrate. The grave has lights inside, which usually are stolen and have to be replaced, despite the lock on the door.

There are two other family sites: The one with Lolo's mother and our cousins, in the older cemetery, and a similar gravesite for 2 of his nephew and his father. 

In the USA, Catholics usually attend mass, but except for Mexicans, the cemetery visits are not usually done in November, but on Memorial day, where people often decorate the war dead but since it is Spring and the winter debris needs to be cleaned, often folks visit the cemeteries to clean them up and put flowers there. Alas, my parents are buried in our old neighborhood, so I only visited them every couple of years, and since their site is in an area forbidding flowers or large tombstones, we don't send flowers their (ironically, half a mile over, in the older area of the same cemetery, they do allow decorations, but that area is so crowded I can't find my way to the site of my grandmother's grave so haven't visited it since 30 years ago when I visited it with my mother).



waiting for the wind

Overcast but no wind or rain yet...the calm before the storm.

We pulled our workers and stick from a trade fair in Manila a day early because we wre afraid the roads would flood and they would be stranded.

An elderly lady who lives next door with her granddaughter died suddenly of a heart attack, so lots of tricycles and cars will be blocking our garage if they hold the wake at her house.

Over the last month we had one storm or low pressure area after another...alas we haven't harvested all the rice yet because too few dry sunny days and the harvester thresher we rent hasn't gotten down their list to us yet. 

In other news Kuya is hoping to persuade his 80 year old mom to move here since she is in a nursing home and will be at risk this winter from flu or covid. However if she needs dialysis here she would have to pay fot it herself, since Medicare doesnt pay for care here. But my house is wheelchair friendly and caregivers available, and I can move upstairs to our Bnb apartment that isnt being used due to quarantine discoutrages travel.